UnemploymentFri, Nov 6 · 9:00am CT
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%100%1.00x
Above 3.8%100%1.00x
Above 3.9%99%1.01x
Above 4.0%95%1.05x
Inflation (CPI)Tue, Nov 10 · 8:56am CT
CPI in October
Above -0.1%100%1.00x
Above 0.0%100%1.00x
Above 0.1%95%1.05x
Above 0.2%59%1.69x
Core inflationTue, Nov 10 · 9:00am CT
Core CPI in October
Above 0.0%96%1.04x
Above 0.1%83%1.20x
Above 0.2%59%1.69x
Above 0.3%16%6.25x
UnemploymentFri, Dec 4 · 9:00am CT
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%100%1.00x
Above 3.8%99%1.01x
Above 3.9%99%1.01x
Above 4.0%90%1.11x
Fed decisionWed, Dec 9 · 1:05pm CT
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
Hike 25bps80%1.25x
Fed maintains rate21%4.76x
Cut 25bps2%50.00x
Hike >25bps2%50.00x
Inflation (CPI)Thu, Dec 10 · 8:56am CT
CPI in November
Above -0.1%86%1.16x
Above 0.0%61%1.64x
Above 0.1%42%2.38x
Above 0.2%24%4.17x
Core inflationThu, Dec 10 · 9:00am CT
Core CPI in November
Above 0.0%96%1.04x
Above 0.1%89%1.12x
Above 0.2%58%1.72x
Above 0.3%17%5.88x
Percentages are the market's price. Multipliers are what $1 pays if it wins.